Sport Picks
Motherwell vs St. Mirren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Premiership Fir Park, Motherwell 
AI Match Summary
Motherwell host St. Mirren in the Premiership. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Motherwell have averaged 1.32 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against St. Mirren's 1.34 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Motherwell slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward St. Mirren. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and St. Mirren come out ahead of Motherwell on wins alone.
- Model gives Motherwell a 0% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motherwell | St. Mirren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
St. Mirren lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Motherwell's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
St. Mirren let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Motherwell
(Home)St. Mirren
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Hearts | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | 14 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 8 | St. Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | 7 |
