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Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
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Match Events

90' Event
Boyce C.

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women game between Motherwell W and Aberdeen W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motherwell W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Motherwell W
15%
Draws
0%
Aberdeen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Motherwell W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aberdeen W haven't matched Motherwell W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Motherwell W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular SWPL 1 Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 14%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell W Aberdeen W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.58 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W
1:0
May 17, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W
2:2
Mar 15, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W
3:4
Jan 25, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Motherwell W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Aberdeen W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyce C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Aberdeen W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell W 84 / 100
Aberdeen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell W Aberdeen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motherwell W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen W let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Aberdeen W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Motherwell W's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell W VS Aberdeen W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell W

(Home)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 2
Spartans W
18 Sept
Celtic W
1 : 0
Motherwell W
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
06 Sept
Motherwell W
0 : 3
Rangers W
Page 1 of 7

Aberdeen W

(Away)
04 Oct
Motherwell W
1 : 0
Aberdeen W
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers W 7 7 0 0 26:4 21
2 Celtic W 7 6 0 1 17:8 18
3 Hearts W 7 5 1 1 24:7 16
4 Glasgow City W 7 4 2 1 22:8 14
5 Hibernian W 7 4 1 2 22:9 13
6 Partick W 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
7 Spartans W 7 2 1 4 6:21 7
8 Motherwell W 7 2 0 5 4:19 6
9 Aberdeen W 7 0 0 7 2:21 0
10 Montrose W 7 0 0 7 6:29 0
Promotion - SWPL 1 Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women (Relegation Group)