Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motherwell W vs Montrose W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Watson C.
31' Event
McDonald K.
Assist: Guthrie N.
36' Event
Boyce C.

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Motherwell W and Montrose W finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motherwell W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Motherwell W
6%
Draws
4%
Montrose W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Motherwell W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Motherwell W's 2.38 goals per match outpaces what Montrose W have produced (2).
  • Model gives Motherwell W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Motherwell W Clean Sheet 11%
Montrose W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motherwell W Montrose W
Matches Played 38 39
Wins 17 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:2
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
5:1
Nov 2, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Motherwell W vs Montrose W
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Montrose W vs Motherwell W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motherwell W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boughton M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Watson C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Montrose W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonald K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motherwell W 83 / 100
Montrose W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motherwell W Montrose W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Motherwell W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Motherwell W scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

Montrose W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motherwell W VS Montrose W
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motherwell W

(Home)
17 May
Motherwell W
2 : 2
Aberdeen W
10 May
Montrose W
1 : 2
Motherwell W
26 Apr
Hamilton W
0 : 3
Motherwell W
05 Apr
Motherwell W
4 : 0
Hamilton W
22 Mar
Motherwell W
5 : 1
Montrose W
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Montrose W

(Away)
17 May
Hamilton W
0 : 5
Montrose W
10 May
Montrose W
1 : 2
Motherwell W
03 May
Rangers W
2 : 0
Montrose W
26 Apr
Aberdeen W
0 : 1
Montrose W
05 Apr
Montrose W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Motherwell W24831335:5227
8Montrose W24831333:6027
9Aberdeen W24531630:5918
10Hamilton W24022210:1042
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)