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Moto Club vs Sao Jose (MA)

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Moto Club play Sao Jose (MA) in the Maranhense 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Moto Club averaged 1.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Sao Jose (MA) averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Moto Club won 2, Sao Jose (MA) won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 15, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.36 for Moto Club and 0.96 for Sao Jose (MA). This points to a Moto Club double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Moto Club
29%
Draws
21%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Moto Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Moto Club picked up more points recently compared to Sao Jose (MA).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.36 vs 0.96 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 24%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moto Club Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Sao Jose (MA)
1:0
Jan 23, 2022 Maranhense
Sao Jose (MA) vs Moto Club
1:1
Mar 29, 2021 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Sao Jose (MA)
0:1
Sep 15, 2020 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Sao Jose (MA)
3:2
Sep 5, 2020 Maranhense
Sao Jose (MA) vs Moto Club
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Luis Fernando
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sao Jose (MA) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moto Club 50 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moto Club Sao Jose (MA)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Moto Club or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.3%
2.86
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Moto Club attacking → ← attacking Sao Jose (MA)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moto Club scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Sao Jose (MA) let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Moto Club went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sao Jose (MA) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 22
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.80
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.60

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sampaio Correa33005:09
2IAPE31022:33
3Chapadinha31024:63
4Pinheiro31023:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maranhao32109:17
2Moto Club31202:15
3Cordino EC31115:44
4Sao Jose (MA)30033:130