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Motor Lublin vs Asteras Tripolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Czubak K.
46' Event
Dadashov R.
53' Event
Karasek K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Motor Lublin and Asteras Tripolis finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Motor Lublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motor Lublin
35%
Draws
39%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Asteras Tripolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motor Lublin come out ahead of Asteras Tripolis on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 15%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2025 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Asteras Tripolis
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Lublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dadashov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gioacchini N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frroku L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 31 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Motor Lublin found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Asteras Tripolis has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Motor Lublin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Asteras Tripolis
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
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Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
20 Sept
OFI Crete
2 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 Sept
Niki Volos
0 : 3
Asteras Tripolis
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
Aris
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
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