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Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
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Match Events

22'
Rodrigues I.
34'
Sub
Rodrigues I. In: Legowski M.
Out: Rodrigues I.
35'
Misiura M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Motor Lublin
20%
Draws
57%
Gornik Zabrze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gornik Zabrze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Motor Lublin haven't matched Gornik Zabrze's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 17%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Gornik Zabrze
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin
4:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 31 / 100
Gornik Zabrze 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Gornik Zabrze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Motor Lublin scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Gornik Zabrze conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Motor Lublin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Gornik Zabrze
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6

Gornik Zabrze

(Away)
10 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Gornik Zabrze
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Lech Poznan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 10 8 1 1 19:9 25
2 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 21:8 22
3 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 GKS Katowice 9 5 0 4 20:14 15
6 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
7 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Zaglebie 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
9 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
10 Jagiellonia 9 4 0 5 13:16 12
11 Cracovia 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
12 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
13 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow 9 2 2 5 14:17 8
15 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 Slask Wroclaw 10 1 3 6 12:19 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 10 1 0 9 13:25 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)