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Motor Lublin vs Warta Poznan Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Haxha F.
7' Event
Haxha F.
59' Event
Czubak K.

AI Match Summary

Motor Lublin in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motor Lublin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motor Lublin
15%
Draws
59%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Warta Poznan haven't matched Motor Lublin's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 16%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Lublin Warta Poznan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Motor Lublin vs Warta Poznan
4:1
Nov 11, 2009 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Motor Lublin
2:0
Aug 8, 2009 Division 1
Motor Lublin vs Warta Poznan
1:4
May 3, 2009 Division 1
Motor Lublin vs Warta Poznan
1:1
Sep 20, 2008 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Motor Lublin
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Lublin Compare

Top Goalscorer Czubak K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haxha F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Smoczynski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Lublin 31 / 100
Warta Poznan 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Lublin Warta Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motor Lublin found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Warta Poznan let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Motor Lublin remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Motor Lublin VS Warta Poznan
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Lublin

(Home)
19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1
Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
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Warta Poznan

(Away)
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
21 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 1
Warta Poznan
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