Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Marienberg vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Meyer L.
63' Event
Gottschalk D.
75' Event
Schreiter M.

AI Match Summary

Motor Marienberg in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motor Marienberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Motor Marienberg
30%
Draws
39%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bautzen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bautzen lately — more wins on the board than Motor Marienberg.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 15%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Marienberg Bautzen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.1 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Bautzen
4:0
Aug 26, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Motor Marienberg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Marienberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gottschalk D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Meyer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bautzen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Marienberg 35 / 100
Bautzen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Marienberg Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bautzen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Motor Marienberg's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Motor Marienberg has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bautzen
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Marienberg

(Home)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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Bautzen

(Away)
20 Sept
Bautzen
3 : 2
Glauchau
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
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