Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motor Marienberg vs Grimma

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Werner K.
75' Event
Werner K.
79'
Farkas S.

AI Match Summary

Motor Marienberg in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motor Marienberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Motor Marienberg
15%
Draws
59%
Grimma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grimma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Grimma have won more games recently than Motor Marienberg.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Grimma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Motor Marienberg Clean Sheet 20%
Grimma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motor Marienberg Grimma
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.1 1.62
Goals Conceded 3.1 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Grimma vs Motor Marienberg
6:3
Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Motor Marienberg vs Grimma
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motor Marienberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Werner K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Grimma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motor Marienberg 16 / 100
Grimma 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motor Marienberg Grimma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grimma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grimma let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Motor Marienberg found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Motor Marienberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grimma
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Motor Marienberg

(Home)
08 Jun
Motor Marienberg
1 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
02 Jun
Grimma
6 : 3
Motor Marienberg
18 May
Motor Marienberg
3 : 4
Halberstadt
11 May
Freital
1 : 0
Motor Marienberg
04 May
Motor Marienberg
2 : 1
Bischofswerdaer
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Grimma

(Away)
30 May
Grimma
3 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
17 May
Plauen
0 : 1
Grimma
09 May
Grimma
2 : 4
Krieschow
03 May
Sandersdorf
1 : 0
Grimma
26 Apr
Grimma
2 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 21 7 2 78:33 70
2 Plauen 30 22 4 4 63:19 70
3 Halberstadt 30 18 6 6 71:45 60
4 Magdeburg II 30 17 4 9 70:43 55
5 Auerbach 30 17 4 9 64:38 55
6 Krieschow 30 14 4 12 59:52 46
7 Sandersdorf 30 13 3 14 49:46 42
8 Freital 30 12 4 14 43:46 40
9 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 54:67 36
10 Bautzen 30 9 8 13 45:52 35
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 4 16 40:53 34
12 Grimma 30 9 5 16 40:63 32
13 Ludwigsfelder 30 8 7 15 39:50 31
14 Halle 30 8 6 16 47:62 30
15 Motor Marienberg 30 6 4 20 33:93 22
16 Arnstadt 30 5 6 19 35:68 21
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)