Sport Picks
Motril vs Atletico de Porcuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
AI Match Summary
Motril host Atletico de Porcuna in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Motril have averaged 1.43 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Atletico de Porcuna's 1.23 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Motril have won 3 to Atletico de Porcuna's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 0.88) point toward Motril. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atletico de Porcuna have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Motril are scoring more at 1.43.
- Model gives Motril a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | Atletico de Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Motril's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Atletico de Porcuna let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Motril has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Motril
(Home)Atletico de Porcuna
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
