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Motril vs Churriana de la Vega

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, May 24, 2026
0 - 0
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Lopez A.
100'
Leon Garcia C.
100'
Leon Garcia C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Motril and Churriana de la Vega finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Motril
39%
Draws
31%
Churriana de la Vega
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Motril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Churriana de la Vega
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Churriana de la Vega
0:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Motril
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Churriana de la Vega
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs Motril
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 41 / 100
Churriana de la Vega 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Churriana de la Vega

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Churriana de la Vega conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Motril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS Churriana de la Vega
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Motril1
Churriana de la Vega1
Torre del Mar0
Arenas Armilla2
Final
Motril1
Arenas Armilla2