Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motril vs Comarca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comarca in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Motril
35%
Draws
26%
Comarca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Motril have won more games recently than Comarca.
  • Motril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Comarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Comarca
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Comarca
0:1
Jan 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Motril
2:2
Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs Motril
1:0
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Comarca
1:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Comarca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 85 / 100
Comarca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Comarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Motril's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Motril has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 7

Comarca

(Away)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)