Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Motril vs Ejido 2

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motril in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Motril
35%
Draws
45%
Ejido 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ejido 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Motril lately — more wins on the board than Ejido 2.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
Ejido 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Ejido 2
Matches Played 44 32
Wins 23 12
Draws 15 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido 2 vs Motril
0:1
May 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Ejido 2
5:1
Dec 18, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido 2 vs Motril
1:1
Feb 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Ejido 2
3:3
Oct 7, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido 2 vs Motril
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 36 / 100
Ejido 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Ejido 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ejido 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (44 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Ejido 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Motril stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0
Motril
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
Page 1 of 9

Ejido 2

(Away)
20 Dec
Antequera
0 : 2
Ejido 2
17 Dec
Ejido 2
2 : 1
Santa Fe
12 Dec
CD Ronda
3 : 2
Ejido 2
04 Dec
Ejido 2
0 : 1
Adra
29 Nov
Ejido 2
2 : 2
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Estepona CF 38 27 6 5 87:36 87
2 Almeria B 38 25 7 6 86:36 82
3 Motril 38 22 12 4 73:38 78
4 Malaga B 38 19 11 8 66:31 68
5 CD Baza 38 18 11 9 57:33 65
6 Comarca 38 18 6 14 51:41 60
7 Ejido 2 38 16 9 13 58:47 57
8 Velez 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
9 Loja 38 14 8 16 29:40 50
10 Granada Atletico Club de Futbol 38 14 7 17 44:52 49
11 Ciudad de Vicar 38 13 9 16 58:60 48
12 CD Ronda 38 13 9 16 51:55 48
13 CD Alhaurino 38 12 10 16 57:59 46
14 Arenas Armilla 38 10 14 14 41:44 44
15 Santa Fe 38 12 7 19 51:67 43
16 Adra 38 11 9 18 40:65 42
17 Vera CD 38 12 5 21 35:61 41
18 CP Granada 74 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
19 CD Imperio de Albolote 38 8 4 26 28:77 28
20 Melilla B 38 7 5 26 27:86 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)