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Motril vs Malaga B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Motril host Malaga B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Malaga B have shipped 1.8 goals a game lately, while Motril have conceded 0.91 and scored 1.44. Past meetings favor Malaga B slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.76 vs 1.25, favoring Motril. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Motril
30%
Draws
27%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Motril come out ahead of Malaga B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Motril's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Motril Clean Sheet 19%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Malaga B
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 12 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.44 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Malaga B
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Motril
5:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Motril
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Malaga B
2:0
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs Motril
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 58 / 100
Malaga B 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga B let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Motril has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Motril scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS Malaga B
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
18 Oct
Cantoria
0 : 2
Motril
11 Oct
Motril
1 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
Page 1 of 7

Malaga B

(Away)
18 Oct
Malaga B
1 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
11 Oct
Almeria B
2 : 1
Malaga B
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 7 6 0 1 13:5 18
2 Almeria B 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
3 Arenas Armilla 7 4 3 0 15:7 15
4 Motril 7 4 3 0 11:5 15
5 Marbelli 7 4 1 2 8:7 13
6 UD San Pedro 7 4 0 3 9:10 12
7 Malaga B 7 3 2 2 13:7 11
8 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
9 Churriana de la Vega 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
10 Granada CF B 7 3 1 3 9:6 10
11 Atletico de Porcuna 7 3 1 3 9:15 10
12 CD Alhaurino 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
13 Torre del Mar 7 2 1 4 6:8 7
14 Huetor Vega 7 1 3 3 10:14 6
15 Atletico de Marbella 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
16 Mancha 7 1 2 4 5:11 5
17 Cantoria 7 0 3 4 4:12 3
18 Malaga Juniors 7 0 0 7 5:18 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)