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Motril vs Martos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Munoz P.
54' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Motril in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Motril
20%
Draws
23%
Martos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Martos haven't matched Motril's recent run of results.
  • Motril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
Martos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Martos
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.34 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Martos
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Motril
1:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Martos
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Motril
0:0
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Martos
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Martos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 95 / 100
Martos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Martos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Martos conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Motril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS Martos
0.88 Goals Scored 0.4
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.2
50% Over 1.5 60%
25% Over 2.5 40%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1
Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2
Recreativo Huelva
Page 1 of 7

Martos

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)