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Motril vs Martos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Munoz P.
54' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

Motril in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Motril
6%
Draws
4%
Martos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Martos haven't matched Motril's recent run of results.
  • Motril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Motril Clean Sheet 68%
Martos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Motril Martos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Martos
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Motril
1:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Martos
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Motril
0:0
May 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs Martos
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Motril Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Martos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Motril 95 / 100
Martos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Motril Martos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Motril's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Martos conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Motril went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Motril VS Martos
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Motril

(Home)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 6

Martos

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)