Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Motril
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Motril have won more games recently than River Melilla.
- Motril are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Motril have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Motril Clean Sheet 20%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Motril | River Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 0 |
| Losses | 6 | 28 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 3.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Motril
0:3
Nov 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs River Melilla
7:2
Apr 1, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs River Melilla
0:0
Nov 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Motril
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Motril 85 / 100
River Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Motril River Melilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Motril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
River Melilla has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
River Melilla lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Motril's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Motril VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Motril
(Home) 27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2 Motril
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
05 Sept
Huetor Vega
0 : 0 Motril
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0 CD Alhaurino
13 Sept
Motril
1 : 1 Torre del Mar
09 Sept
Motril
0 : 2 Recreativo Huelva
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
24 May
Motril
0 : 0 Churriana de la Vega
Page 1 of 4
River Melilla
(Away) 19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2 River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3 Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0 River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5 Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5 Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2 River Melilla
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0 River Melilla
13 Apr
El Palo
4 : 1 River Melilla
31 Mar
CP Almeria
3 : 0 River Melilla
03 Mar
Huetor Tajar
4 : 1 River Melilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malaga B | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 107:34 | 90 |
| 2 | Antequera | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:38 | 75 |
| 3 | Almeria B | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 61:36 | 71 |
| 4 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 73:48 | 71 |
| 5 | Motril | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 71:43 | 70 |
| 6 | Loja | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 63:41 | 66 |
| 7 | Rincon | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 49:52 | 57 |
| 8 | El Palo | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 64:57 | 56 |
| 9 | Martos | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 57:54 | 53 |
| 10 | Guadix | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:51 | 51 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 41:51 | 48 |
| 12 | Maracena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 50:54 | 46 |
| 13 | UD San Pedro | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 42:49 | 45 |
| 14 | Atarfe Industrial | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 42:59 | 45 |
| 15 | Velez | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 44:64 | 44 |
| 16 | Huetor Vega | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45:55 | 44 |
| 17 | River Melilla | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:67 | 40 |
| 18 | CD Alhaurino | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 37:67 | 31 |
| 19 | Dos Hermanas | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 48:88 | 28 |
| 20 | Alhaurin | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 39:89 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
