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Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 Honneur Stadium, Oujda
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mouloudia Oujda host Chabab Atlas Khenifra in the Botola 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chabab Atlas Khenifra have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Mouloudia Oujda have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Mouloudia Oujda slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.06) point toward Chabab Atlas Khenifra. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mouloudia Oujda
35%
Draws
26%
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mouloudia Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chabab Atlas Khenifra come out ahead of Mouloudia Oujda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mouloudia Oujda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 20%
Chabab Atlas Khenifra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouloudia Oujda Chabab Atlas Khenifra
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 11
Draws 14 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Botola 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Mouloudia Oujda
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1:0
May 10, 2025 Botola 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra vs Mouloudia Oujda
1:0
Jan 8, 2025 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
4:0
May 17, 2014 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouloudia Oujda 58 / 100
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouloudia Oujda Chabab Atlas Khenifra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mouloudia Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mouloudia Oujda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Chabab Atlas Khenifra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mouloudia Oujda VS Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouloudia Oujda

(Home)
17 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 2
Chabab Benguerir
11 Oct
Jeunesse Massira
2 : 2
Mouloudia Oujda
03 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
Dcheira
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
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Chabab Atlas Khenifra

(Away)
24 Oct
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
4 : 2
Olympique de Safi
17 Oct
Stade Marocain
2 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
11 Oct
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 1
Chabab Mohammedia
03 Oct
Olympique Khouribga
4 : 0
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
27 Sept
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
1 : 2
Ittihad Khemisset
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yacoub El Mansour 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Dcheira 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Wydad Fes 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
4 Ittihad Khemisset 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Olympique de Safi 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
6 USM Oujda 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
7 Stade Marocain 4 2 0 2 4:4 6
8 Mouloudia Oujda 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
9 Jeunesse Massira 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Olympique Khouribga 4 1 1 2 6:4 4
11 Chabab Benguerir 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
12 KAC Kenitra 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 US Boujaad 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
14 Chabab Mohammedia 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
15 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
16 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)