Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mouloudia Oujda vs US Boujaad

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026 Honneur Stadium, Oujda
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2025/2026 game between Mouloudia Oujda and US Boujaad finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Boujaad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mouloudia Oujda
35%
Draws
42%
US Boujaad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: US Boujaad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and US Boujaad come out ahead of Mouloudia Oujda on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on US Boujaad taking it.
  • Regular Botola 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 23%
US Boujaad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mouloudia Oujda US Boujaad
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 14 14
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs US Boujaad
0:3
Oct 5, 2025 Botola 2
US Boujaad vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mouloudia Oujda 13 / 100
US Boujaad 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mouloudia Oujda US Boujaad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick US Boujaad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Mouloudia Oujda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

US Boujaad has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mouloudia Oujda VS US Boujaad
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mouloudia Oujda

(Home)
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
14 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 0
Mouloudia Oujda
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 6

US Boujaad

(Away)
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0
Olympique de Safi
22 Jul
US Boujaad
4 : 1
Rapide Oued Zem
18 Jul
Rapide Oued Zem
0 : 1
US Boujaad
05 Jul
US Boujaad
4 : 0
RAC Casablanca
27 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0
US Boujaad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
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Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)