Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Draxhall Sports Complex, Runaway Bay
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Edwards R.
22' Event
Saint-Fleur G.
25' Event
Angelo E.

AI Match Summary

Mount Pleasant in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Mount Pleasant
20%
Draws
40%
Montego Bay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mount Pleasant lately — more wins on the board than Montego Bay.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 24%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Montego Bay
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 19 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
2:3
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angelo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Saint-Fleur G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 37 / 100
Montego Bay 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Montego Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montego Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mount Pleasant scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Montego Bay conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mount Pleasant remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Montego Bay
2.13 Goals Scored 0.86
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 8

Montego Bay

(Away)
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0
Tru-Juice FC
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
24 May
Montego Bay
2 : 3
Mount Pleasant
21 May
Montego Bay
0 : 2
Cavalier
17 May
Cavalier
0 : 1
Montego Bay
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)