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Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mount Pleasant host Montego Bay in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Mount Pleasant have averaged 1.47 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Montego Bay's 1.93 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor Mount Pleasant slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 0.66 vs 1.15, favoring Mount Pleasant. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mount Pleasant
35%
Draws
38%
Montego Bay
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Montego Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Montego Bay haven't matched Mount Pleasant's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 20%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Montego Bay
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
2:3
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
2:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 32 / 100
Montego Bay 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Montego Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montego Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Montego Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mount Pleasant has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Montego Bay
0.88 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.43
50% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
15 Oct
Sando
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
05 Oct
Mount Pleasant
1 : 1
Cavalier
27 Sept
FC Dunbeholden
0 : 2
Mount Pleasant
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
Page 1 of 6

Montego Bay

(Away)
18 Oct
Montego Bay
2 : 2
Arnett Gardens
11 Oct
Cavalier
1 : 3
Montego Bay
04 Oct
Montego Bay
1 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
27 Sept
Racing United
0 : 1
Montego Bay
20 Sept
Montego Bay
0 : 0
Tru-Juice FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montego Bay 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Racing United 6 4 1 1 14:6 13
3 Waterhouse 6 3 3 0 15:2 12
4 Tivoli 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
5 Tru-Juice FC 6 3 2 1 10:3 11
6 Chapelton 6 2 2 2 4:10 8
7 Cavalier 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
8 Molynes United 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
9 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
10 Arnett Gardens 5 1 2 2 10:9 5
11 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 FC Dunbeholden 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
13 Treasure Beach 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
14 Humble Lions 6 0 2 4 2:17 2
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)