Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mount Pleasant vs Portmore

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Draxhall Sports Complex, Runaway Bay
Wed, May 20, 2026
2 - 4
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ximines T.
38' Event
Robinson R.
62' Event
Edwards R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with Portmore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mount Pleasant
15%
Draws
48%
Portmore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Mount Pleasant carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Mount Pleasant have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Portmore, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 18%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mount Pleasant Portmore
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.61 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Portmore vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
2:4
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Mar 24, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
4:1
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ximines T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robinson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mount Pleasant 32 / 100
Portmore 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mount Pleasant Portmore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mount Pleasant's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Portmore conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mount Pleasant went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mount Pleasant VS Portmore
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mount Pleasant

(Home)
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
18 Aug
Mount Pleasant
1 : 2
Cibao
Page 1 of 8

Portmore

(Away)
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Portmore 5
Racing United 3
Montego Bay -
TBD -
Waterhouse 2
Cavalier 4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Portmore 4
Montego Bay 1
Cavalier 2
Final
Portmore 3
Cavalier 2
Mount Pleasant 3
Montego Bay 2