Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mountjoy vs Crewe Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Crewe in this Irish Cup 2009/2010 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mountjoy
15%
Draws
42%
Crewe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mountjoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crewe lately — more wins on the board than Mountjoy.
  • Win probability leans Crewe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Crewe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Mountjoy Clean Sheet 10%
Crewe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mountjoy Crewe
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 0.71 1.6
Goals Conceded 4.43 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2009 Irish Cup
Mountjoy vs Crewe
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mountjoy 10 / 100
Crewe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mountjoy Crewe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crewe let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Mountjoy scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Crewe has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mountjoy VS Crewe
0.67 Goals Scored 2.75
8 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mountjoy

(Home)
28 Jul
Mountjoy
1 : 12
Portadown
14 Jul
Mountjoy
0 : 5
Dungannon
08 Dec
Tobermore
7 : 1
Mountjoy
17 Nov
Sirocco
0 : 1
Mountjoy
19 Nov
Mountjoy
0 : 3
Banbridge Rangers
Page 1 of 2

Crewe

(Away)
22 Jul
Crewe
0 : 8
Bangor FC
20 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Dollingstown
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 3
Ballymena
28 Sept
Crewe
3 : 4
Crumlin United
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Lurgan Town Boys 6
Strabane FC 5
Ardstraw 0
Newcastle 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Barn 4
Crewe 2
Mountjoy 1
Abbey Villa 0
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosside -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United -
Raceview -
TBD -
TBD -
Draperstown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Desertmartin 0
Hanover 1
Dromara -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 6
Bloomfield 1
TBD -
Newbuildings -
Seagoe -
TBD -
East Belfast 2
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 3
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Grove -
Banbridge Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Dungiven -
TBD -
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Rosario Youth 5
Roe Valley 0
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
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Dergview -
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Coleraine -
Ballymena -
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Knockbreda -
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Ards -
Glebe -
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Wakehurst -
Chimney -
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Ballinamallard -
Institute -
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Brantwood -
TBD -
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Tandragee -
Saintfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
TBD -
U. U. Jordanstown -
Sirocco -
TBD -
Downshire Y.M. 0
Wellington Rec 8
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Glenavon -
Crusaders -
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Banbridge -
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Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash -
TBD -
Kilbride 1
Downpatrick 3
Broomhedge -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
Newington FC 2
Laurelvale 0
TBD -
Magherafelt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
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TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Bangor Old Boys 2
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Newcastle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Barn 2
Crewe 4
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 3
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill 1
Mosside 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 5
Crumlin United 1
Raceview 1
Draperstown 2
Warrenpoint 4
Hanover 1
Dromara 1
Dollingstown 2
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 4
Newbuildings 0
Seagoe 1
Lisburn Rangers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 2
Grove 0
Banbridge Rangers 0
Foundry 4
Dungiven 3
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Rosario Youth 3
Bryansburn 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 4
Tandragee 1
Saintfield 0
Killyleagh Youth 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Sirocco 0
Wellington Rec 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Downpatrick 0
Broomhedge 1
Comber Rec 7
Holywood 4
Shorts 1
Newington FC 2
Magherafelt 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 4
Newcastle 1
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 2
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 1
Mosside 0
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 4
Draperstown 1
Warrenpoint 0
Dollingstown 1
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 2
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 7
Foundry 5
Dungiven 1
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 2
Wellington Rec 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood 2
Magherafelt 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Donegal 1
Malachians 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare 2
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United 2
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Larne 2
Ards Rangers 3
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
Loughgall 2
Nortel 1
Killymoon 0
Oxford Stars 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela 3
Dergview 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
Ards 2
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 0
Chimney 0
Ballinamallard 9
Institute -
TBD -
Brantwood 0
Ballymoney 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 2
Bangor FC 3
Tobermore 2
Comber Rec 1
Holywood 0
Coagh Utd 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers 3
Annagh 1
TBD -
Portadown -
1/16-finals
Linfield 4
Donegal 0
Malachians 0
Dungannon 6
Ballyclare 5
Islandmagee 1
Omagh United 0
Glentoran 5
Newry City 2
Larne 1
Ards Rangers 1
Loughgall 3
Nortel 5
Bryansburn 4
Dundela 0
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Glebe 0
Ballinamallard 3
Institute 2
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Glenavon 5
Crusaders 5
Bangor FC 1
Tobermore 0
Coagh Utd 1
Cliftonville 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
1/8-finals
Linfield 4
Dungannon 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 2
Newry City 2
Loughgall 1
Nortel 0
Coleraine 6
Ballymena 5
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 1
Glenavon 2
Crusaders 4
Coagh Utd 0
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 2
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Glentoran 1
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Ballymena 5
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Portadown 2
Semi-finals
Linfield 4
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Portadown 2
Final
Linfield 2
Portadown 1