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Moura AC vs Moncarapachense Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Leal de Barros O. A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Leal de Barros O. A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Moncarapachense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moncarapachense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Moura AC
20%
Draws
51%
Moncarapachense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moncarapachense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moncarapachense lately — more wins on the board than Moura AC.
  • Win probability leans Moncarapachense's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 27%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moura AC Moncarapachense
Matches Played 32 41
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 12
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Moncarapachense
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Moura AC
3:0
Feb 13, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moncarapachense vs Moura AC
0:0
Nov 22, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Moncarapachense
1:3
Apr 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Moncarapachense vs Moura AC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moura AC 30 / 100
Moncarapachense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moura AC Moncarapachense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moncarapachense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Moncarapachense has conceded goals in 61% of their last 41 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Moura AC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Moncarapachense
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Moura AC

(Home)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

Moncarapachense

(Away)
18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0
Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)