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Moutier vs Lugano Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2016/2017
Moutier Logo

Moutier

0 - 3
FT
Lugano Logo

Lugano

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ceesay A.
42' Event
Alioski E.
59' Event
Ponce A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lugano in this Swiss Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Moutier
15%
Draws
65%
Lugano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Lugano have won more games recently than Moutier.
  • Model gives Lugano a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Lugano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lugano, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Moutier Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moutier Lugano
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 4 22
Draws 0 5
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.5 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.6 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2016 Swiss Cup
Moutier vs Lugano
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moutier Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceesay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alioski E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moutier 10 / 100
Lugano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moutier Lugano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Moutier scored in 60% of their last 10 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lugano conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Moutier went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lugano
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moutier

(Home)
09 Mar
Helsingborg
2 : 0
Moutier
16 Sept
Moutier
1 : 3
Thun
18 Aug
AC Malcantone
0 : 2
Moutier
13 Aug
Moutier
0 : 3
Lugano
15 Sept
Moutier
0 : 4
Grenchen
Page 1 of 2

Lugano

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sion 6
Romontois 1
Arbedo 0
Xamax 5
Iliria 2
Grenchen 0
La Sarraz-Eclepens 0
Schaffhausen 3
Bruhl SG 5
Wabern 0
Munsingen 1
SC Binningen 2
Azzurri Lausanne 3
Genolier-Begnins 1
Thun 1
Kriens 2
Aarau 5
Zollbruck 0
Servette 1
Breitenrain 3
Gunzwil 2
Vernier 0
Moutier 0
Lugano 3
Koniz 2
Seefeld 1
Lancy 1
Lausanne 2
FC Ticino 4
Uzwil 0
Oberwallis Naters 1
Luzern 4
Winterthur 4
Yverdon 1
Wil 2
Lausanne Ouchy 4
Wohlen 3
Meyrin 1
Dulliken 0
Chiasso 3
Grasshoppers 2
Old Boys 0
Rumlang 2
Seuzach 5
FC Bazenheid 2
Red Star Zurich 1
Veltheim 0
Young Boys 6
Zurich 2
La Chaux-De-Fonds 0
Conthey 1
Bellinzona 4
Le Mont 14
Donneloye 0
Black Stars 2
St. Gallen 3
Tuggen 6
Klingnau 0
Cham 0
Calcio Kreuzlingen 1
Zug 2
Bubendorf 1
Rapperswil-Jona 0
Basel 1
1/16-finals
Sion 4
Xamax 3
Iliria 1
Schaffhausen 4
Bruhl SG 2
SC Binningen 1
Azzurri Lausanne 2
Kriens 3
Aarau 1
Breitenrain 0
Gunzwil 1
Lugano 4
Koniz 3
Lausanne 1
FC Ticino 0
Luzern 3
Winterthur 3
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Wohlen 0
Chiasso 1
Grasshoppers 4
Seuzach 1
FC Bazenheid 1
Young Boys 7
Zurich 2
Bellinzona 0
Le Mont 0
St. Gallen 1
Tuggen 2
Calcio Kreuzlingen 1
Zug 0
Basel 1
1/8-finals
Sion 5
Schaffhausen 2
Bruhl SG 3
Kriens 5
Aarau 2
Lugano 0
Koniz 1
Luzern 2
Winterthur 2
Chiasso 1
Grasshoppers 0
Young Boys 5
Zurich 2
St. Gallen 1
Tuggen 1
Basel 4
Quarter-finals
Sion 5
Kriens 1
Aarau 3
Luzern 5
Winterthur 3
Young Boys 2
Zurich 1
Basel 3
Semi-finals
Sion 1
Luzern 0
Winterthur 1
Basel 3
Final
Sion 0
Basel 3