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Moyola vs Donegal

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gray A.
85' Event
Dowie C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Moyola advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Moyola
15%
Draws
0%
Donegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moyola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moyola come out ahead of Donegal on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Moyola taking it.
  • Moyola have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Donegal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Moyola Clean Sheet 15%
Donegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moyola Donegal
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2015 Irish League Cup
Moyola vs Donegal
2:0
Mar 18, 2006 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Moyola
1:0
Sep 24, 2005 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Donegal
1:2
Apr 15, 2005 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Moyola
0:0
Oct 16, 2004 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Donegal
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moyola Compare

Top Goalscorer Gray A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dowie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Donegal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moyola 84 / 100
Donegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moyola Donegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moyola found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (26 games).

Donegal has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Donegal registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Moyola VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moyola

(Home)
01 Aug
Moyola
0 : 3
Dungannon
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1
Crusaders
18 Jul
Moyola
1 : 2
Bangor FC
14 Jul
Cliftonville
3 : 0
Moyola
10 Jul
Moyola
1 : 3
Ballymena
Page 1 of 6

Donegal

(Away)
17 Aug
Crewe
:
Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0
Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1
Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1
Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Linfield -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Glebe 1
Banbridge 3
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Donegal 0
Moyola 2
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ballyclare 2
Wakehurst 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Portstewart 0
Knockbreda 3
Sport & Leisure 7
Queens University 1
TBD -
Institute -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 0
Newington FC 2
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
1/16-finals
Ards 2
Dergview 1
Glenavon 3
Annagh 4
Linfield 5
Glebe 0
Banbridge 0
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymena 4
Moyola 1
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Dollingstown 0
Ballyclare 1
Coleraine 3
Warrenpoint 5
Lisburn Distillery 1
Larne 1
Portadown 4
Crusaders 3
Knockbreda 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Institute 5
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 0
Dundela 1
Cliftonville 2
1/8-finals
Ards 2
Annagh 0
Linfield 0
Ballinamallard 1
Ballymena 1
Limavady 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 2
Portadown 1
Crusaders 3
Institute 4
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Cliftonville 4
Quarter-finals
Ards 3
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 2
Institute 1
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 3
Semi-finals
Ards 3
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 0
Cliftonville 1
Final
Ards 0
Cliftonville 3