Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Gray A.
85'
85'
Dowie C.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Moyola advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moyola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Moyola come out ahead of Donegal on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Moyola taking it.
- Moyola have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Donegal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Moyola Clean Sheet 16%
Donegal Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moyola | Donegal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 3.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2015 Irish League Cup
Moyola vs Donegal
2:0
Mar 18, 2006 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Moyola
1:0
Sep 24, 2005 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Donegal
1:2
Apr 15, 2005 NIFL Championship
Donegal vs Moyola
0:0
Oct 16, 2004 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Donegal
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moyola Compare
Top Goalscorer Gray A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dowie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Donegal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moyola 84 / 100
Donegal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moyola Donegal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moyola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Donegal conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Donegal registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Moyola scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Moyola VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moyola
(Home) 26 Sept
Queens University
0 : 1 Moyola
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0 Ards
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2 Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4 Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0 Armagh
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Moyola
0 : 0 Ards
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4 Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0 Armagh
15 Aug
Moyola
2 : 0 Ballinamallard
11 Aug
Moyola
1 : 3 Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 4
Donegal
(Away) 17 Aug
Crewe
: Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0 Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1 Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1 Donegal
20 Aug
Donegal
1 : 3 Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6
17 Aug
Crewe
: Donegal
30 Sept
Crumlin United
2 : 0 Donegal
29 Aug
Glenavon
5 : 1 Donegal
30 Aug
Portadown
6 : 1 Donegal
30 Apr
Annagh
2 : 3 Donegal
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Linfield -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Glebe 1
Banbridge 3
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Donegal 0
Moyola 2
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ballyclare 2
Wakehurst 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Portstewart 0
Knockbreda 3
Sport & Leisure 7
Queens University 1
TBD -
Institute -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 0
Newington FC 2
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
1/16-finals
Ards 2
Dergview 1
Glenavon 3
Annagh 4
Linfield 5
Glebe 0
Banbridge 0
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymena 4
Moyola 1
Bangor FC 1
Limavady 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Dollingstown 0
Ballyclare 1
Coleraine 3
Warrenpoint 5
Lisburn Distillery 1
Larne 1
Portadown 4
Crusaders 3
Knockbreda 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Institute 5
Glentoran 1
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Dungannon 3
Newington FC 0
Dundela 1
Cliftonville 2
1/8-finals
Ards 2
Annagh 0
Linfield 0
Ballinamallard 1
Ballymena 1
Limavady 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 2
Portadown 1
Crusaders 3
Institute 4
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Cliftonville 4
Quarter-finals
Ards 3
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 1
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 2
Institute 1
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 3
Semi-finals
Ards 3
Coleraine 2
Warrenpoint 0
Cliftonville 1
Final
Ards 0
Cliftonville 3
