Sport Picks
Mozambique U17 vs Mali U17
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 8), Salé 
Match Events
4'
4'
Pelembe D.
Assist: Nhampule A.
8'
8'
Maiga A.
21'
21'
Demi P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mozambique U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Mali U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 29% — that's where the model lands on Mali U17 taking it.
- Mali U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Mozambique U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Mali U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mozambique U17 | Mali U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 44 |
| Wins | 4 | 28 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.95 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mozambique U17 vs Mali U17
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mozambique U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Pelembe D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Mali U17 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sylla Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mozambique U17 22 / 100
Mali U17 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mozambique U17 Mali U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mali U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Mozambique U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mozambique U17 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (17 games).
Defensive concern: Mali U17 conceded in 55% of 44 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mozambique U17 VS Mali U17
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mozambique U17
(Home) 23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
20 May
Angola U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
14 May
Tanzania U17
3 : 0 Mozambique U17
20 Aug
Mozambique U17
0 : 3 Comoros U17
Page 1 of 4
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
20 Aug
Mozambique U17
0 : 3 Comoros U17
19 Jul
Mozambique U17
2 : 1 Angola U17
14 Jun
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Namibia U17
22 Sept
Mozambique U17
0 : 2 Zimbabwe U17
Page 1 of 2
Mali U17
(Away) 24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1 Mali U17
20 May
Mali U17
2 : 1 Tanzania U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
14 May
Mali U17
0 : 0 Angola U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2 Mali U17
Page 1 of 9
24 May
Senegal U17
2 : 1 Mali U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
18 Nov
Morocco U17
3 : 2 Mali U17
14 Nov
Zambia U17
1 : 3 Mali U17
11 Nov
Saudi Arabia U17
0 : 2 Mali U17
Page 1 of 5
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Ethiopia U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia U17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast U17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Cameroon U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Uganda U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 4 | D.R. Congo U17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanzania U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Mali U17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Mozambique U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Angola U17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal U17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Algeria U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ghana U17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 4 | South Africa U17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)
