Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique U20 vs Eswatini U20

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2024 Lalgy Arena, Matola
Mozambique U20 Logo

Mozambique U20

4 - 5
FT
Eswatini U20 Logo

Eswatini U20

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mussa K.
Assist: Voreiua E.
24'
Sub
Comecar M. In: Muianga C.
Out: Comecar M.
29'
Malaza A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eswatini U20 in this COSAFA Championship U20 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eswatini U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Mozambique U20
15%
Draws
42%
Eswatini U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Mozambique U20 have won more games recently than Eswatini U20.
  • Mozambique U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Eswatini U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Eswatini U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique U20 Eswatini U20
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Friendly International
Eswatini U20 vs Mozambique U20
2:0
Sep 26, 2024 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Eswatini U20
4:5
Dec 5, 2019 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Eswatini U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mussa K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seia Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Eswatini U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mdluli A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dube P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique U20 48 / 100
Eswatini U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique U20 Eswatini U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Eswatini U20 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Eswatini U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mozambique U20 found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Mozambique U20 VS Eswatini U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique U20

(Home)
20 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Namibia U20
18 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 1
Seychelles U20
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2
Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
2 : 0
Mozambique U20
30 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1
Zimbabwe U20
Page 1 of 7

Eswatini U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Angola U20
4 : 0
Eswatini U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
0 : 2
Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
2 : 0
Mozambique U20
09 Jul
South Africa U20
2 : 0
Eswatini U20
07 Jul
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Eswatini U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe U20 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Botswana U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Eswatini U20 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 0 3 5:8 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angola U20 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zambia U20 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
3 Namibia U20 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Comoros U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
3 Malawi U20 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Lesotho U20 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2024 (Play Offs)