Sport Picks
Mozambique U20 vs Lesotho U20
Africa
COSAFA Championship U20 2022 Somhlolo Stadium, Lobamba 
Match Events
33'
33'
Limpho R.
35'
35'
Munhave D.
46'
46'
Sub
Ramos D. In: Ze Zavala
Out: Ramos D.
AI Match Summary
The COSAFA Championship U20 2022 game between Mozambique U20 and Lesotho U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mozambique U20.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mozambique U20 come out ahead of Lesotho U20 on wins alone.
- Mozambique U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this COSAFA Championship U20 2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Mozambique U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Lesotho U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mozambique U20 | Lesotho U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 23, 2025 Friendly International
Mozambique U20 vs Lesotho U20
0:2
Sep 22, 2024 Friendly International
Lesotho U20 vs Mozambique U20
0:0
Oct 12, 2022 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Lesotho U20
2:1
Dec 3, 2020 COSAFA Championship U20
Mozambique U20 vs Lesotho U20
1:0
Jun 12, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Lesotho U20 vs Mozambique U20
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mozambique U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Munhave D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ze Zavala
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Lesotho U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsibela T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mozambique U20 95 / 100
Lesotho U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mozambique U20 Lesotho U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mozambique U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lesotho U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Mozambique U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Lesotho U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Mozambique U20's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mozambique U20 VS Lesotho U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mozambique U20
(Home) 25 Sept
Namibia U20
0 : 3 Mozambique U20
22 Sept
Mozambique U20
5 : 0 Mauritius U20
20 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1 Namibia U20
18 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 1 Seychelles U20
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2 Lesotho U20
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Mozambique U20
5 : 0 Mauritius U20
20 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1 Namibia U20
18 Sept
Mozambique U20
4 : 1 Seychelles U20
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2 Lesotho U20
30 Sept
Mozambique U20
0 : 1 Zimbabwe U20
Page 1 of 4
Lesotho U20
(Away) 23 Sept
Lesotho U20
0 : 5 Angola U20
21 Sept
Eswatini U20
3 : 2 Lesotho U20
19 Sept
South Africa U20
3 : 0 Lesotho U20
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2 Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
0 : 2 Lesotho U20
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Eswatini U20
3 : 2 Lesotho U20
19 Sept
South Africa U20
3 : 0 Lesotho U20
23 Nov
Mozambique U20
0 : 2 Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
0 : 2 Lesotho U20
01 Oct
Malawi U20
2 : 3 Lesotho U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zambia U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Eswatini U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Botswana U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritius U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:11 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mozambique U20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Angola U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Lesotho U20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Seychelles U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Malawi U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Comoros U20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Namibia U20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2022 (Play Offs)
