Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique vs Namibia

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup 2024 Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Gqeberha
Fri, Jul 5, 2024
0 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Muzeu B.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Simango U. In: Domingos F.
Out: Simango U.
46'
Sub
Elago S. In: Namib B.
Out: Elago S.

AI Match Summary

Namibia in this COSAFA Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mozambique
20%
Draws
38%
Namibia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mozambique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mozambique lately — more wins on the board than Namibia.
  • Model gives Mozambique a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Mozambique have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Namibia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Namibia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%
Namibia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique Namibia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2024 COSAFA Cup
Mozambique vs Namibia
0:1
Jul 15, 2022 COSAFA Cup
Namibia vs Mozambique
1:0
Jul 14, 2021 COSAFA Cup
Mozambique vs Namibia
1:0
May 26, 2019 COSAFA Cup
Mozambique vs Namibia
1:2
Oct 16, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations
Namibia vs Mozambique
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique 51 / 100
Namibia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique Namibia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Namibia conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Namibia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique VS Namibia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique

(Home)
09 Jun
Indonesia
1 : 0
Mozambique
07 Jun
Oman
4 : 1
Mozambique
05 Jan
Nigeria
4 : 0
Mozambique
31 Dec
Mozambique
1 : 2
Cameroon
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
Page 1 of 6

Namibia

(Away)
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
17 Nov
Comoros
4 : 0
Namibia
14 Nov
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
13 Oct
Tunisia
3 : 0
Namibia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Comoros1
Angola2
Mozambique0
Namibia1
Final
Angola5
Namibia0
Comoros2
Mozambique3