Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique W vs Angola W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Angola W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2019 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mozambique W
15%
Draws
26%
Angola W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mozambique W lately — more wins on the board than Angola W.
  • Mozambique W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Mozambique W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Angola W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mozambique W Clean Sheet 20%
Angola W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique W Angola W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2023 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Mozambique W
0:1
Sep 3, 2022 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Mozambique W
1:1
Sep 28, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Angola W vs Mozambique W
2:2
Aug 5, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
Mozambique W vs Angola W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique W 58 / 100
Angola W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique W Angola W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angola W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Mozambique W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Mozambique W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique W VS Angola W
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique W

(Home)
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
20 Feb
Mozambique W
0 : 2
Namibia W
23 Nov
Eswatini W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
22 Nov
Lesotho W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
31 Oct
South Africa W
2 : 1
Mozambique W
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Angola W

(Away)
24 Feb
Angola W
0 : 1
Malawi W
21 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 0
Angola W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
28 Oct
Malawi W
2 : 0
Angola W
23 Oct
Angola W
0 : 0
Malawi W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 23:1 9
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Madagascar W 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Comoros W 3 0 0 3 1:35 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 18:2 7
2 Botswana W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
3 Namibia W 3 1 0 2 10:4 3
4 Mauritius W 3 0 0 3 0:26 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zimbabwe W 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Eswatini W 3 2 0 1 7:8 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Mozambique W 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2019 (Play Offs)