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Mozambique W vs Lesotho W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2024
Mozambique W Logo

Mozambique W

1 - 1
FT
Lesotho W Logo

Lesotho W

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Potsane N.
39'
Khashane M.
39'
Khashane M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Mozambique W
15%
Draws
8%
Lesotho W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Lesotho W haven't matched Mozambique W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mozambique W a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Mozambique W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Mozambique W Clean Sheet 68%
Lesotho W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique W Lesotho W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 24
Goals Scored 1.07 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.21 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Lesotho W vs Mozambique W
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Mozambique W vs Lesotho W
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Lesotho W
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Lesotho W
1:1
Sep 15, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Lesotho W vs Mozambique W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuta C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lesotho W Compare

Top Goalscorer Potsane N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique W 95 / 100
Lesotho W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique W Lesotho W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lesotho W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Mozambique W scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Mozambique W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique W VS Lesotho W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique W

(Home)
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
20 Feb
Mozambique W
0 : 2
Namibia W
23 Nov
Eswatini W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
22 Nov
Lesotho W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
31 Oct
South Africa W
2 : 1
Mozambique W
Page 1 of 6

Lesotho W

(Away)
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
24 Feb
South Africa W
1 : 1
Lesotho W
21 Feb
Malawi W
8 : 1
Lesotho W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namibia W 3 2 0 1 9:1 6
3 Eswatini W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Seychelles W 3 0 0 3 1:21 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Botswana W 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Madagascar W 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Mauritius W 3 0 0 3 1:19 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 2 2 0 0 10:0 6
2 Comoros W 2 1 0 1 3:8 3
3 Angola W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mozambique W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Zimbabwe W 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Lesotho W 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)