Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mozambique W vs Madagascar W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Mozambique W Logo

Mozambique W

2 - 0
FT
Madagascar W Logo

Madagascar W

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Banze A.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Manuel C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mozambique W
20%
Draws
38%
Madagascar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mozambique W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Madagascar W haven't matched Mozambique W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mozambique W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Mozambique W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mozambique W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mozambique W Clean Sheet 68%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mozambique W Madagascar W
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.89
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Mozambique W vs Madagascar W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mozambique W Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuel C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Madagascar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mozambique W 50 / 100
Madagascar W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mozambique W Madagascar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique W scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Madagascar W conceded in 63% of 19 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mozambique W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mozambique W VS Madagascar W
1 Goals Scored 1.14
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.71
50% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Mozambique W

(Home)
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
20 Feb
Mozambique W
0 : 2
Namibia W
23 Nov
Eswatini W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
22 Nov
Lesotho W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
31 Oct
South Africa W
2 : 1
Mozambique W
Page 1 of 6

Madagascar W

(Away)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Eswatini W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Botswana W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia W 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Mozambique W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Madagascar W 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams