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MPS vs Vaajakoski

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group A 2016
MPS Logo

MPS

3 - 3
FT
Vaajakoski Logo

Vaajakoski

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Zolameso G.
20'
Lintinen P.
21' Event
Haiko N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kakkonen Group A 2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MPS
20%
Draws
40%
Vaajakoski
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • MPS haven't matched Vaajakoski's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vaajakoski's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group A 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
MPS Clean Sheet 16%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS Vaajakoski
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.07 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs MPS
2:1
Jul 3, 2016 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Vaajakoski
3:3
Sep 10, 2006 Kakkonen Group A
MPS vs Vaajakoski
3:1
Jun 4, 2006 Kakkonen Group A
Vaajakoski vs MPS
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Zolameso G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haiko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Vaajakoski Compare

Top Goalscorer Karlstedt T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuhmonen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS 19 / 100
Vaajakoski 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS Vaajakoski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaajakoski let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

MPS scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Vaajakoski lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vaajakoski
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MPS

(Home)
11 Apr
MPS
0 : 7
EBK
01 Oct
MPS
1 : 1
KaPa
25 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 1
MPS
18 Sept
PEPO
2 : 1
MPS
11 Sept
MPS
3 : 2
Kultsu Joutseno
Page 1 of 6

Vaajakoski

(Away)
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 15 3 4 45:25 48
2 KuFu-98 22 13 4 5 42:23 43
3 Mikkelin 22 11 3 8 44:36 36
4 JaPS 22 7 10 5 33:23 31
5 Lahti/69 22 8 7 7 31:32 31
6 PEPO 22 9 3 10 39:32 30
7 Kultsu Joutseno 22 9 3 10 30:27 30
8 KaPa 22 8 6 8 27:30 30
9 Sudet 22 7 5 10 32:39 26
10 FC Futura 22 7 3 12 31:48 24
11 Vaajakoski 22 5 7 10 31:46 22
12 MPS 22 3 6 13 23:47 15
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)