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MPS W vs FC Kontu W

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Women 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MPS W play FC Kontu W in the Ykkonen Women 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, MPS W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. FC Kontu W averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, MPS W won 2, FC Kontu W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 6, 2007 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for MPS W and 1.06 for FC Kontu W. This points to a FC Kontu W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
MPS W
19%
Draws
44%
FC Kontu W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: FC Kontu W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • MPS W picked up more points recently compared to FC Kontu W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
MPS W Clean Sheet 22%
FC Kontu W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MPS W FC Kontu W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2007 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
FC Kontu W vs MPS W
2:1
Jul 18, 2007 Kansallinen Ykkonen Women
MPS W vs FC Kontu W
0:1
Aug 7, 2004 Kansallinen Liiga Women
FC Kontu W vs MPS W
0:3
May 20, 2004 Kansallinen Liiga Women
MPS W vs FC Kontu W
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MPS W 38 / 100
FC Kontu W 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MPS W FC Kontu W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Kontu W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

MPS W attacking → ← attacking FC Kontu W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MPS W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

FC Kontu W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

MPS W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Kontu W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 50
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00