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Mqabba FC vs Victoria Hotspurs

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Mqabba FC Logo

Mqabba FC

3 - 2
FT
Victoria Hotspurs Logo

Victoria Hotspurs

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Mqabba FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mqabba FC
22%
Draws
60%
Victoria Hotspurs
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Victoria Hotspurs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Victoria Hotspurs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Victoria Hotspurs a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Victoria Hotspurs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mqabba FC, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mqabba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Victoria Hotspurs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mqabba FC Victoria Hotspurs
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 4 0
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2022 FA Trophy
Mqabba FC vs Victoria Hotspurs
3:2
Oct 25, 2015 FA Trophy
Mqabba FC vs Victoria Hotspurs
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mqabba FC 18 / 100
Victoria Hotspurs 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mqabba FC Victoria Hotspurs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Mqabba FC scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Victoria Hotspurs has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mqabba FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mqabba FC VS Victoria Hotspurs
1 Goals Scored 2.4
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Mqabba FC

(Home)
04 Jan
Mosta FC
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
23 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 0
Mqabba FC
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
Mqabba FC
31 Mar
Mtarfa
2 : 1
Mqabba FC
Page 1 of 7

Victoria Hotspurs

(Away)
03 Jan
Hamrun
5 : 0
Victoria Hotspurs
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 1
Xaghra
06 Feb
Victoria Hotspurs
1 : 4
Floriana
10 Jan
Xaghra
1 : 5
Victoria Hotspurs
07 Dec
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
Senglea
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Balzan FC-
TBD-
Kalkara0
Tarxien2
Birkirkara-
TBD-
Nadur7
Vittoriosa1
Valletta-
TBD-
St. Andrews0
Zabbar4
Hamrun-
TBD-
Ghajnsielem5
Qrendi0
Marsa2
Melita3
TBD-
Mosta FC-
Swieqi3
Fgura0
TBD-
Zebbug-
Pieta-
TBD-
Xewkija2
Lija0
San Gwann-
TBD-
TBD-
Mgarr-
Hibernians-
TBD-
TBD-
Zurrieq-
Attard3
Birzebbuga2
Kercem Ajax3
Marsaskala FC2
Floriana-
TBD-
TBD-
Santa Lucia-
Zejtun-
TBD-
TBD-
Marsaxlokk-
Gzira-
TBD-
TBD-
Sliema-
Mtarfa-
TBD-
Sannat Lions1
Qala Saints3
Gudja-
TBD-
Naxxar Lions5
Oratory1
Sirens-
TBD-
Mqabba FC3
Victoria Hotspurs2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC4
Tarxien0
Birkirkara4
Nadur0
Valletta5
Zabbar1
Hamrun3
Ghajnsielem1
Melita0
Mosta FC3
Swieqi1
Zebbug0
Pieta2
Xewkija0
San Gwann3
Mgarr1
Hibernians3
Zurrieq1
Attard2
Kercem Ajax8
Floriana0
Santa Lucia1
Zejtun0
Marsaxlokk5
Gzira2
Sliema0
Mtarfa1
Qala Saints2
Gudja2
Naxxar Lions1
Sirens1
Mqabba FC0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC2
Birkirkara3
Valletta1
Hamrun2
Mosta FC2
Swieqi1
Pieta0
San Gwann2
Hibernians8
Kercem Ajax0
Santa Lucia0
Marsaxlokk2
Gzira3
Qala Saints0
Gudja1
Sirens0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara1
Hamrun0
Mosta FC5
San Gwann0
Hibernians0
Marsaxlokk1
Gzira2
Gudja1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara4
Mosta FC3
Marsaxlokk2
Gzira1
Final
Birkirkara2
Marsaxlokk0