Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MS Kafr Qasim vs Nof Hagalil

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hamuda A.
34' Event
Cohen L.
45' Event
Tadesa M.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between MS Kafr Qasim and Nof Hagalil finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nof Hagalil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MS Kafr Qasim
33%
Draws
27%
Nof Hagalil
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: MS Kafr Qasim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • MS Kafr Qasim have managed 0.63 goals a game lately — Nof Hagalil are scoring more at 1.13.
  • MS Kafr Qasim are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
MS Kafr Qasim Clean Sheet 68%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MS Kafr Qasim Nof Hagalil
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Nof Hagalil
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Nof Hagalil
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs MS Kafr Qasim
1:1
May 9, 2025 Leumit League
MS Kafr Qasim vs Nof Hagalil
2:0
Jan 31, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs MS Kafr Qasim
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MS Kafr Qasim Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamuda A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cohen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Tadesa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dabbur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MS Kafr Qasim 50 / 100
Nof Hagalil 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MS Kafr Qasim Nof Hagalil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MS Kafr Qasim's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nof Hagalil has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: MS Kafr Qasim remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MS Kafr Qasim VS Nof Hagalil
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MS Kafr Qasim

(Home)
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
H. Raanana
2 : 2
MS Kafr Qasim
15 May
MS Kafr Qasim
2 : 2
Maccabi Jaffa
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1
Nof Hagalil
05 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
Page 1 of 6

Nof Hagalil

(Away)
25 May
Nof Hagalil
2 : 2
Hapoel Akko
19 May
Nof Hagalil
0 : 2
Ironi Modiin
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1
Nof Hagalil
04 May
Maccabi Jaffa
2 : 0
Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)