Sport Picks
Msaken vs Ben Guerdane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Tunisia Cup 
Match Events
16'
16'
Mejri M.
50'
50'
Abcha J.
81'
81'
Zorgati A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ben Guerdane
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ben Guerdane have won more games recently than Msaken.
- Model gives Ben Guerdane a 47% chance of winning this.
- Ben Guerdane arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ben Guerdane, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Msaken Clean Sheet 18%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Msaken | Ben Guerdane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Msaken vs Ben Guerdane
4:1
Oct 31, 2010 Tunisia Cup
Msaken vs Ben Guerdane
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Msaken Compare
Top Goalscorer Mejri M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zorgati A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Ben Guerdane Compare
Top Goalscorer Abcha J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Msaken 28 / 100
Ben Guerdane 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Msaken Ben Guerdane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ben Guerdane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Msaken scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Ben Guerdane conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Msaken has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Msaken VS Ben Guerdane
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Msaken
(Home) 03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0 Chebba
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0 Chebba
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3 Sfax Railways
22 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 Hamam-Sousse
05 Apr
Msaken
0 : 0 BS Bouhajla
Page 1 of 3
Ben Guerdane
(Away) 20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3 Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2 Ben Guerdane
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3 Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2 Ben Guerdane
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1
