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Msaken vs Chebba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Msaken
20%
Draws
51%
Chebba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chebba average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Msaken's 1.19.
  • Model gives Chebba a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Msaken Clean Sheet 16%
Chebba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Msaken Chebba
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Chebba
0:0
May 11, 2026 Ligue 2
Msaken vs Chebba
2:4
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Msaken
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs Msaken
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Msaken 23 / 100
Chebba 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Msaken Chebba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Msaken scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Chebba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Msaken stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Msaken VS Chebba
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Msaken

(Home)
03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0
Chebba
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2
Msaken
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 7

Chebba

(Away)
03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0
Chebba
26 Sept
Chebba
1 : 2
Sfax Railways
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)