Sport Picks

Mtarfa vs Ghaxaq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta

FA Trophy 2019/2020

Mtarfa

0 - 2

Ghaxaq

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Ghaxaq advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Mtarfa

15%

Draws

85%

Ghaxaq

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ghaxaq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Mtarfa carry the better recent record into this one.
85% — that's where the model lands on Ghaxaq taking it.
Mtarfa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ghaxaq, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Mtarfa Clean Sheet 10%

Ghaxaq Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mtarfa	Ghaxaq
Matches Played	33	12
Wins	5	4
Draws	2	0
Losses	26	8
Goals Scored	0.64	1.25
Goals Conceded	3.61	2.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2019 FA Trophy

Mtarfa vs Ghaxaq

0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtarfa 10 / 100

Ghaxaq 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mtarfa Ghaxaq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ghaxaq Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghaxaq let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mtarfa scored in 33% of their last 33 games.

Away concern: Ghaxaq has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mtarfa VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

4.13 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mtarfa

(Home)

19 Apr

Mtarfa

1 : 5

Santa Lucia

11 Apr

Marsa

5 : 0

Mtarfa

01 Apr

Mtarfa

0 : 1

Vittoriosa

15 Mar

Gudja

3 : 0

Mtarfa

07 Mar

Mtarfa

0 : 2

Zurrieq

Page 1 of 7

Ghaxaq

(Away)

26 Oct

Mgarr

5 : 1

Ghaxaq

14 Sept

Mtarfa

0 : 2

Ghaxaq

07 Sept

Ghaxaq

4 : 1

Zebbug Rovers

28 Oct

Fgura

4 : 1

Ghaxaq

09 Sept

Victoria Wanderers

0 : 1

Ghaxaq

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Floriana -

TBD -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Melita -

Gzira -

TBD -

Senglea -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Sannat Lions -

TBD -

Gharghur -

TBD -

Mosta FC -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Nadur -

TBD -

Oratory -

Balzan FC -

TBD -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Marsa -

Sliema -

TBD -

Santa Lucia -

Qala Saints -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows -

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

Pieta -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Gharb -

TBD -

St. Lawrence 0

Xewkija 5

Mgarr -

TBD -

Mtarfa -

TBD -

Ghaxaq 4

Zebbug Rovers 1

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Valletta -

Kirkop 2

Kercem Ajax 3

Xbiex 1

Munxar 2

TBD -

Fgura -

TBD -

Sirens -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Kalkara -

Xaghra 2

St. Venera 0

Victoria Wanderers 2

Ghajnsielem 3

Siggiewi 1

Marsaskala FC 0

Victoria Hotspurs 7

Mdina 0

Gudja -

TBD -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Lija -

Pembroke -

TBD -

Xghajra -

Msida -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Zabbar -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

TBD -

Hibernians -

Qormi -

TBD -

Luqa -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Swieqi -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Hamrun -

1/64-finals

Floriana -

TBD -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Melita -

Gzira -

TBD -

Senglea -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Sannat Lions 0

Gharghur 1

TBD -

Mosta FC -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

TBD -

Nadur 4

Oratory 0

Balzan FC -

TBD -

San Gwann -

TBD -

Marsa -

Sliema -

TBD -

Santa Lucia -

Qala Saints 2

Dingli Swallows 3

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

Pieta -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Gharb 0

Xewkija 2

Mgarr -

TBD -

Mtarfa 0

Ghaxaq 2

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

TBD -

Valletta -

Kercem Ajax 5

Munxar 0

TBD -

Fgura -

TBD -

Sirens -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Kalkara -

Xaghra 3

Ghajnsielem 1

Siggiewi 0

Victoria Hotspurs 4

Gudja -

TBD -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Lija -

Pembroke -

TBD -

Xghajra -

Msida 1

Attard 2

TBD -

Zabbar -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

TBD -

Hibernians -

Qormi -

TBD -

Luqa -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Swieqi -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Hamrun -

1/32-finals

Floriana -

TBD -

Zurrieq 0

Melita 2

Gzira -

TBD -

Senglea -

Rabat Ajax 4

Gharghur 1

TBD -

Mosta FC -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

Vittoriosa 0

Nadur 3

Balzan FC -

TBD -

San Gwann 2

Marsa 0

Sliema -

TBD -

Santa Lucia -

Dingli Swallows 1

Mqabba FC 3

Pieta 4

St. George's FC 1

Birzebbuga 2

Xewkija 7

Mgarr 5

Ghaxaq 1

Marsaxlokk 1

St. Andrews 3

TBD -

Valletta -

Kercem Ajax 2

Fgura 1

TBD -

Sirens -

Zebbug 3

Kalkara 1

Xaghra 0

Victoria Hotspurs 3

Gudja -

TBD -

Qrendi 0

Lija 5

Pembroke 3

Xghajra 0

Attard 0

Zabbar 1

Zejtun 2

Naxxar Lions 1

TBD -

Hibernians -

Qormi 1

Luqa 0

Mellieha 1

Swieqi 4

Tarxien -

TBD -

Hamrun -

1/16-finals

Floriana 6

Melita 1

Gzira 1

Senglea 2

Rabat Ajax 0

Mosta FC 7

Birkirkara 1

Nadur 0

Balzan FC 3

San Gwann 0

Sliema 0

Santa Lucia 2

Mqabba FC 0

Pieta 3

Xewkija 5

Mgarr 2

St. Andrews 0

Valletta 4

Kercem Ajax 1

Sirens 4

Zebbug 3

Victoria Hotspurs 5

Gudja 3

Lija 0

Pembroke 6

Zabbar 0

Zejtun 0

Hibernians 3

Qormi 2

Swieqi 3

Tarxien 1

Hamrun 2

1/8-finals

Floriana 2

Senglea 0

Mosta FC 1

Birkirkara 2

Balzan FC 2

Santa Lucia 0

Pieta 2

Xewkija 1

Valletta 4

Sirens 1

Victoria Hotspurs 1

Gudja 3

Pembroke 0

Hibernians 4

Swieqi 1

Hamrun 3

Quarter-finals

Floriana 2

Birkirkara 1

Balzan FC 0

Pieta 1

Valletta 2

Gudja 0

Hibernians 2

Hamrun 1

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Mtarfa vs Ghaxaq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta

Mtarfa

Ghaxaq

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mtarfa

Ghaxaq

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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