Sport Picks
Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Azam Complex Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Mtibwa Sugar play Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mtibwa Sugar averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Mbeya City averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Mtibwa Sugar won 1, Mbeya City won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Mtibwa Sugar and 1.63 for Mbeya City. This points to a Mbeya City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mtibwa Sugar picked up more points recently compared to Mbeya City.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.63 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mtibwa Sugar Compare
Mbeya City Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mtibwa Sugar scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Mbeya City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Mtibwa Sugar went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Mbeya City lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |