Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Manungu Stadium

Mtibwa Sugar

1 - 1

Namungo

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Kipenye C.

44'

Mkopi S.

46'

Sub

Hillary A. In: Mhesa I.

Out: Hillary A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Mtibwa Sugar

Draws

90%

Namungo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Namungo lately — more wins on the board than Mtibwa Sugar.
Model gives Namungo a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 14%

Namungo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mtibwa Sugar	Namungo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	9	12
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.88	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Feb 7, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo

Possession: 48% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

May 20, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Dec 7, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Dec 16, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mtibwa Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mkopi S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kipenye C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtibwa Sugar 10 / 100

Namungo 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mtibwa Sugar Namungo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Mtibwa Sugar scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mtibwa Sugar VS Namungo

0.88 Goals Scored 0.75

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

75% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9