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MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest II host Kaposvar in the NB III - Southwest. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Kaposvar have shipped 0.97 goals a game lately, while MTK Budapest II have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.83. Past meetings favor Kaposvar slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.94 - 1.94) back Kaposvar to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
37%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kaposvar lately — more wins on the board than MTK Budapest II.
  • MTK Budapest II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Kaposvar
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 21
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar
2:3
Apr 21, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 38 / 100
Kaposvar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest II scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Kaposvar has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

MTK Budapest II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS Kaposvar
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
11 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 1
Erdi
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 6

Kaposvar

(Away)
10 Oct
Kaposvar
1 : 0
Ivancsa
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 MTK Budapest II 9 5 0 4 24:15 15
8 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
9 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
10 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
11 Erdi 10 3 3 4 22:24 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)