Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest II vs Vac

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Centre 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kovacs M.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Balogh M.
78' Event
Kovacs M.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Centre 2021/2022 game between MTK Budapest II and Vac finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
26%
Vac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • MTK Budapest II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans MTK Budapest II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 20%
Vac Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Vac
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 NB III - Centre
MTK Budapest II vs Vac
3:0
Sep 12, 2021 NB III - Centre
Vac vs MTK Budapest II
0:5
Mar 5, 2011 NB II - East
Vac vs MTK Budapest II
2:1
Aug 15, 2010 NB II - East
MTK Budapest II vs Vac
2:1
Apr 11, 2010 NB II - East
MTK Budapest II vs Vac
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Balogh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovacs M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Vac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 85 / 100
Vac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Vac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest II scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Vac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: MTK Budapest II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Aug
Siofok
2 : 1
MTK Budapest II
09 Aug
MTK Budapest II
8 : 0
Szekszardi
26 Jul
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 6

Vac

(Away)
29 May
Gerjeni
0 : 2
Vac
22 May
Vac
0 : 0
ESMTK Budapest
15 May
Ferencvaros II
5 : 1
Vac
08 May
Vac
2 : 3
Honved II
04 May
FC Dabas
2 : 0
Vac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kozarmisleny SE 38 27 11 0 80:23 92
2 Balassagyarmat SE 38 25 6 7 69:35 81
3 Dunaujvaros 38 23 9 6 76:37 78
4 Honved II 38 22 4 12 68:53 70
5 Makoi 38 21 6 11 60:33 69
6 Paks II 38 20 4 14 66:46 64
7 Ivancsa 38 18 8 12 74:45 62
8 Monori 38 18 7 13 59:43 61
9 Ferencvaros II 38 17 8 13 58:50 59
10 Hodmezovasarhely 38 15 7 16 55:62 52
11 MTK Budapest II 38 14 10 14 49:52 52
12 FC Dabas 38 13 11 14 63:56 50
13 ESMTK Budapest 38 13 8 17 52:47 47
14 Szekszardi 38 12 10 16 48:50 46
15 Cegledi 38 11 8 19 41:68 41
16 Vac 38 10 9 19 44:68 39
17 Mohacsi 38 8 6 24 37:76 30
18 Dabas-Gyon 38 7 9 22 30:72 30
19 Rakosmenti KSK 38 6 5 27 40:87 23
20 Gerjeni 38 5 4 29 25:91 19
Promotion - Merkantil Bank Liga 2022/2023 (Main)