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MTK Budapest U19 vs Ajax U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2022/2023 Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
MTK Budapest U19 Logo

MTK Budapest U19

0 - 1
FT
Ajax U19 Logo

Ajax U19

Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Varga D.
59' Event
Misehouy G.
(Penalty)
69'
Matviiv Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Ajax U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MTK Budapest U19
15%
Draws
45%
Ajax U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax U19 come out ahead of MTK Budapest U19 on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on MTK Budapest U19 taking it.
  • Ajax U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ajax U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
MTK Budapest U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest U19 Ajax U19
Matches Played 15 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 3 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.4 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.73 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2023 UEFA Youth League
MTK Budapest U19 vs Ajax U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest U19 35 / 100
Ajax U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest U19 Ajax U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest U19 scored in 67% of their last 15 outings.

MTK Budapest U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ajax U19
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest U19

(Home)
08 Feb
MTK Budapest U19
0 : 1
Ajax U19
02 Nov
MTK Budapest U19
0 : 1
SC Ashdod U19
26 Oct
SC Ashdod U19
0 : 2
MTK Budapest U19
05 Oct
Jelgava U19
0 : 1
MTK Budapest U19
14 Sept
MTK Budapest U19
3 : 0
Jelgava U19
Page 1 of 3

Ajax U19

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sporting CP U19 -
TBD -
MTK Budapest U19 0
Ajax U19 1
Liverpool U19 -
TBD -
Panathinaikos U19 0
FC Porto U19 1
Barcelona U19 -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 5
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 0
Real Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Young Boys U19 2
Salzburg U19 3
Hibernian U19 1
Dortmund U19 2
TBD -
PSG U19 -
Hajduk Split U19 1
Shakhtar U19 0
TBD -
Manchester City U19 -
AC Milan U19 -
TBD -
Rukh Lviv U19 2
Inter U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Genk U19 1
Juventus U19 0
1/8-finals
Sporting CP U19 5
Ajax U19 1
Liverpool U19 2
FC Porto U19 1
Barcelona U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 3
Real Madrid U19 3
Salzburg U19 1
Dortmund U19 2
PSG U19 1
Hajduk Split U19 2
Manchester City U19 1
AC Milan U19 1
Rukh Lviv U19 0
Atl. Madrid U19 4
Genk U19 1
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP U19 1
Liverpool U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Real Madrid U19 0
Dortmund U19 1
Hajduk Split U19 2
AC Milan U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Semi-finals
Sporting CP U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 3
Hajduk Split U19 3
AC Milan U19 1
Final
AZ Alkmaar U19 5
Hajduk Split U19 0