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MTK Budapest vs Ajka

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between MTK Budapest and Ajka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
MTK Budapest
20%
Draws
38%
Ajka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajka come out ahead of MTK Budapest on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on MTK Budapest taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 12%
Ajka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Ajka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 2
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Ajka
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Ajka
1:1
Nov 9, 2022 NB II.
Ajka vs MTK Budapest
2:3
Feb 23, 2020 NB II.
Ajka vs MTK Budapest
2:0
Aug 28, 2019 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Ajka
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 40 / 100
Ajka 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Ajka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Ajka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Difficult form: Ajka registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Ajka
2 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 1
Komarno
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 3
Koper
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
0 : 4
LNZ Cherkasy
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
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Ajka

(Away)
18 Jul
Ajka
0 : 2
Csakvari
11 Jul
Gyirmot FC Gyor
2 : 0
Ajka
08 Jul
Ajka
3 : 1
Sopron
04 Jul
Haladas
3 : 0
Ajka
01 Jul
Ajka
3 : 2
Zalaegerszegi
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