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MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
MTK Budapest Logo

MTK Budapest

3 - 0
FT
Zalaegerszegi Logo

Zalaegerszegi

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kerezsi Z.
Assist: Hinora K.
46'
Sub
Diogo Antonio In: Rozsa M.
Out: Diogo Antonio
56'
Sub
Laszlo K. In: Komaromi G.
Out: Laszlo K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest in this NB I. matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
MTK Budapest
15%
Draws
51%
Zalaegerszegi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zalaegerszegi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalaegerszegi lately — more wins on the board than MTK Budapest.
  • Model gives Zalaegerszegi a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 14%
Zalaegerszegi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Zalaegerszegi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 NB I.
Zalaegerszegi vs MTK Budapest
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerezsi Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klausz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Zalaegerszegi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 23 / 100
Zalaegerszegi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Zalaegerszegi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalaegerszegi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Zalaegerszegi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Zalaegerszegi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Zalaegerszegi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
10 Oct
Paks
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
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Zalaegerszegi

(Away)
20 Sept
Ujpest
2 : 1
Zalaegerszegi
13 Sept
Dunaharaszti MTK
1 : 5
Zalaegerszegi
06 Sept
Zalaegerszegi
1 : 0
Puskas Academy
29 Aug
Honved
1 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
23 Aug
Gyor
3 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Vasas 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
3 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Paks 9 4 2 3 19:17 14
6 Ferencvaros 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
7 Kisvarda FC 9 2 4 3 10:11 10
8 Debrecen 9 2 4 3 13:16 10
9 MTK Budapest 9 2 3 4 15:17 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)