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MTK Budapest W vs Szent Mihaly W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup Women
MTK Budapest W Logo

MTK Budapest W

Sat, Oct 3, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Szent Mihaly W Logo

Szent Mihaly W

Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Leal C.
90' Event
Kern F.
1' Event
Bradic B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
MTK Budapest W
15%
Draws
17%
Szent Mihaly W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MTK Budapest W come out ahead of Szent Mihaly W on wins alone.
  • MTK Budapest W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • MTK Budapest W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor MTK Budapest W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MTK Budapest W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
MTK Budapest W Clean Sheet 20%
Szent Mihaly W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest W Szent Mihaly W
Matches Played 44 35
Wins 29 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.95 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Hungarian Cup Women
MTK Budapest W vs Szent Mihaly W
2:1
Aug 22, 2026 NB I Women
MTK Budapest W vs Szent Mihaly W
1:0
May 16, 2026 NB I Women
Szent Mihaly W vs MTK Budapest W
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 NB I Women
MTK Budapest W vs Szent Mihaly W
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 NB I Women
Szent Mihaly W vs MTK Budapest W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kern F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Szent Mihaly W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leal C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest W 85 / 100
Szent Mihaly W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest W Szent Mihaly W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Szent Mihaly W conceded in 71% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: MTK Budapest W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest W VS Szent Mihaly W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest W

(Home)
03 Oct
MTK Budapest W
2 : 1
Szent Mihaly W
26 Sept
MTK Budapest W
4 : 1
DVTK W
19 Sept
Ferencvaros W
2 : 0
MTK Budapest W
16 Sept
MTK Budapest W
1 : 0
Ujpest W
12 Sept
Gyor W
0 : 1
MTK Budapest W
Page 1 of 9

Szent Mihaly W

(Away)
03 Oct
MTK Budapest W
2 : 1
Szent Mihaly W
26 Sept
Puskas Academy W
6 : 1
Szent Mihaly W
19 Sept
DVTK W
0 : 1
Szent Mihaly W
16 Sept
Szent Mihaly W
2 : 3
Ferencvaros W
12 Sept
Ujpest W
1 : 0
Szent Mihaly W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Astra Hungary W 0
Puskas Academy W 5
Kelen W 0
Gyor W 3
Kazincbarcikai W 0
Videoton W 3
ZTE W 0
Honved W 12
MTK Budapest W 2
Szent Mihaly W 1
Pecsi VSK W 1
Szekszardi W 0
Ferencvaros W 2
DVTK W 1
Pecsi MFC W 1
Ujpest W 4
Quarter-finals
Puskas Academy W -
Gyor W -
Videoton W -
Honved W -
MTK Budapest W -
Pecsi VSK W -
Ferencvaros W -
Ujpest W -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -