Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muaither SC vs Al Markhiya

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bashir S.
Assist: Tabata R.
45'
Abdelbaset E.
55' Event
Lucao
Assist: Tabata R.

AI Match Summary

Muaither SC in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Muaither SC
44%
Draws
20%
Al Markhiya
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muaither SC lately — more wins on the board than Al Markhiya.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Muaither SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Markhiya, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 13%
Al Markhiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muaither SC Al Markhiya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC
3:4
Mar 25, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Markhiya
3:2
Oct 22, 2025 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Markhiya
1:2
Sep 1, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC
0:0
Apr 16, 2025 QSL 2
Al Markhiya vs Muaither SC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramis Luque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Al Markhiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bashir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muaither SC 35 / 100
Al Markhiya 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muaither SC Al Markhiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Muaither SC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Markhiya has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Muaither SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muaither SC VS Al Markhiya
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Muaither SC

(Home)
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Muaither SC
1 : 2
Al-Kharitiyath
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
15 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Markhiya

(Away)
30 Jul
Al Markhiya
1 : 0
Al Raed
30 Apr
Al Khor
0 : 3
Al Markhiya
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Al Markhiya
05 Apr
Al Markhiya
3 : 4
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan-
TBD-
Al-Shahaniya1
Shamal0
Umm-Salal-
TBD-
Al Sailiya1
Al Bidda3
Muaither SC2
Al-Kharitiyath0
Al Markhiya2
Al Khor1
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Qatar SC2
Al-Waab3
Al Mesaimeer1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan3
Al-Shahaniya0
Umm-Salal2
Al Bidda0
Muaither SC3
Al Markhiya2
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Al-Waab1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan4
Umm-Salal3
Muaither SC4
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Final
Al Rayyan2
Muaither SC0