Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gonzalez E.
24' Event
Gama G.
40' Event
Ramis Luque A.

AI Match Summary

Muaither SC in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Muaither SC
39%
Draws
31%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Muaither SC have won more games recently than Al Mesaimeer.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Muaither SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Mesaimeer, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 17%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muaither SC Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
1:3
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
0:1
Oct 25, 2024 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramis Luque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Gama G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muaither SC 30 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muaither SC Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Mesaimeer let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Muaither SC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Al Mesaimeer lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muaither SC VS Al Mesaimeer
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muaither SC

(Home)
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Muaither SC
1 : 2
Al-Kharitiyath
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
15 Apr
Al Rayyan
2 : 0
Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
15 Mar
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)