Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Gonzalez E.
24' Event
Gama G.
40' Event
Luque A.

AI Match Summary

Muaither SC in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Muaither SC
15%
Draws
37%
Al Mesaimeer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muaither SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Muaither SC have won more games recently than Al Mesaimeer.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Muaither SC taking it.
  • Muaither SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Mesaimeer, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 12%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muaither SC Al Mesaimeer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
1:3
Jan 21, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
4:1
Dec 30, 2025 QSL 2
Muaither SC vs Al Mesaimeer
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 QSL 2
Al Mesaimeer vs Muaither SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luque A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Mesaimeer Compare

Top Goalscorer Gama G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muaither SC 38 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muaither SC Al Mesaimeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muaither SC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Mesaimeer conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Muaither SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muaither SC VS Al Mesaimeer
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muaither SC

(Home)
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
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Al Mesaimeer

(Away)
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1
Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3
Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0
Al-Waab
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)