Sport Picks

Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Thunderdome Stadium, Nonthaburi

Muang Thong Utd

1 - 1

Lamphun Warrior

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Panthong S.

40'

Schad D.

42'

Khamyok K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Muang Thong Utd

40%

Draws

29%

Lamphun Warrior

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Lamphun Warrior lately — more wins on the board than Muang Thong Utd.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%

Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Muang Thong Utd	Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	7	8
Draws	7	16
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Thai League 1

Muang Thong Utd vs Lamphun Warrior

1:1

Dec 20, 2025 Thai FA Cup

Muang Thong Utd vs Lamphun Warrior

0:1

Oct 3, 2025 Thai League 1

Lamphun Warrior vs Muang Thong Utd

2:2

Jan 11, 2025 Thai League 1

Lamphun Warrior vs Muang Thong Utd

1:5

Aug 18, 2024 Thai League 1

Muang Thong Utd vs Lamphun Warrior

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Saric M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Yodsangwal A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Thong Utd 32 / 100

Lamphun Warrior 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Muang Thong Utd Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muang Thong Utd scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Lamphun Warrior has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Muang Thong Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muang Thong Utd VS Lamphun Warrior

1 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muang Thong Utd

(Home)

10 May

Sukhothai

3 : 0

Muang Thong Utd

01 May

Muang Thong Utd

1 : 1

Pathum United

26 Apr

Chonburi

0 : 0

Muang Thong Utd

18 Apr

Muang Thong Utd

2 : 1

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

05 Apr

Muang Thong Utd

2 : 1

Chiangrai Utd

Page 1 of 7

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)

17 May

Prachuap

1 : 0

Lamphun Warrior

10 May

Buriram United F.C.

1 : 1

Lamphun Warrior

03 May

Lamphun Warrior

0 : 0

Chiangrai Utd

26 Apr

Rayong FC

1 : 1

Lamphun Warrior

11 Apr

Lamphun Warrior

1 : 2

Ratchaburi

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Buriram United F.C.	30	22	4	4	76:31	70
2	Port MTI FC	30	18	6	6	59:23	60
3	Ratchaburi	30	18	5	7	55:30	59
4	Pathum United	30	14	10	6	45:29	52
5	Bangkok Utd	30	13	11	6	43:32	50
6	Prachuap	30	11	12	7	39:37	45
7	Chiangrai Utd	30	9	13	8	36:37	40
8	Chonburi	30	10	9	11	38:41	39
9	Rayong FC	30	9	10	11	44:49	37
10	Ayutthaya United	30	8	8	14	34:50	32
11	Uthai Thani	30	7	10	13	39:44	31
12	Lamphun Warrior	30	4	17	9	35:47	29
13	Sukhothai	30	6	10	14	23:42	28
14	Muang Thong Utd	30	6	8	16	27:52	26
15	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	30	6	6	18	20:44	24
16	Kanchanaburi	30	4	11	15	29:54	23

Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)

Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)